Selected outcome
Risch, 13+ pts
wide spread 72–83%
Risch, 13+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Risch, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Idaho be at least 11 percentage points?
83%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$282 vol
Bid 78¢ · Ask 88¢
- Risch, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Idaho be at least 13 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$285 vol
wide spread 72–83%
Bid 72¢ · Ask 83¢
- Risch, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Idaho be at least 15 percentage points?
63%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$539 vol
Bid 62¢ · Ask 63¢
- Risch, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Idaho be at least 17 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$174 vol
wide spread 51–63%
Bid 51¢ · Ask 63¢
- Risch, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Idaho be at least 3 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 91.8¢ · Ask 98.8¢
- Risch, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Idaho be at least 5 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
Bid 90.2¢ · Ask 98.6¢
- Risch, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Idaho be at least 7 percentage points?
91%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 88¢ · Ask 94.9¢
- Risch, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Idaho be at least 9 percentage points?
88%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$26 vol
Bid 84¢ · Ask 92.9¢
- Risch, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Idaho be at least 19 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$359 vol
wide spread 41–53%
Bid 41¢ · Ask 53¢
- Risch, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Idaho be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$653 vol
wide spread 30–42%
Bid 30¢ · Ask 42¢
- Risch, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Idaho be at least 23 percentage points?
25%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$339 vol
Bid 20¢ · Ask 29¢
- Risch, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Idaho be at least 25 percentage points?
20%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$144 vol
Bid 15¢ · Ask 24¢
- Risch, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Idaho be at least 27 percentage points?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$87 vol
Bid 10¢ · Ask 17¢
- Risch, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Idaho be at least 29 percentage points?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$100 vol
Bid 8¢ · Ask 12¢
- Risch, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Idaho be at least 31 percentage points?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$155 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 9.7¢
- Risch, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Idaho be at least 33 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$37 vol
Bid 3.1¢ · Ask 8¢
- Risch, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Idaho be at least 35 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7 vol
Ask 7¢
- Risch, 37+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Idaho be at least 37 percentage points?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
last
Ask 6.5¢
- Risch, 39+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Idaho be at least 39 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
last
Ask 6.2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Idaho by 13 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.