Selected outcome
Jackson, 29+ pts
82%
Jackson, 29+ pts · 82%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Jackson, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 1st District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
90%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5,317 vol
wide spread 87–98%
Bid 87¢ · Ask 98¢
- Jackson, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 1st District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
82%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$358 vol
Bid 77¢ · Ask 86¢
- Jackson, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 1st District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
71%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$284 vol
wide spread 66–78%
Bid 66¢ · Ask 78¢
- Jackson, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 1st District House election be at least 35 percentage points?
62%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$66 vol
Bid 57¢ · Ask 67¢
- Jackson, 38+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 1st District House election be at least 38 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 46–57%
Bid 46¢ · Ask 57¢
- Jackson, 41+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 1st District House election be at least 41 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 35–46%
Bid 35¢ · Ask 46¢
- Jackson, 44+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 1st District House election be at least 44 percentage points?
36%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$724 vol
wide spread 25–36%
Bid 25¢ · Ask 36¢
- Jackson, 47+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 1st District House election be at least 47 percentage points?
20%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 15¢ · Ask 25¢
- Jackson, 50+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 1st District House election be at least 50 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 4–15%
Bid 4.3¢ · Ask 15¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Illinois's 1st District by 29 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.