Selected outcome
Miller, 28+ pts
96%
Miller, 28+ pts · 96%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Miller, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 2nd District House election be at least 28 percentage points?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,788 vol
Bid 93.8¢ · Ask 97.6¢
- Miller, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 2nd District House election be at least 31 percentage points?
84%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 81¢ · Ask 86¢
- Miller, 34+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 2nd District House election be at least 34 percentage points?
75%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 71¢ · Ask 79¢
- Miller, 37+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 2nd District House election be at least 37 percentage points?
65%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 62¢ · Ask 68¢
- Miller, 40+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 2nd District House election be at least 40 percentage points?
57%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$143 vol
wide spread 53–65%
Bid 53¢ · Ask 65¢
- Miller, 43+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 2nd District House election be at least 43 percentage points?
44%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 41¢ · Ask 47¢
- Miller, 46+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 2nd District House election be at least 46 percentage points?
32%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$10 vol
Bid 29¢ · Ask 34¢
- Miller, 49+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 2nd District House election be at least 49 percentage points?
22%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 18¢ · Ask 26¢
- Miller, 52+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 2nd District House election be at least 52 percentage points?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$242 vol
Bid 5.8¢ · Ask 14¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Illinois's 2nd District by 28 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.