Selected outcome
Quigley, 40+ pts
wide spread 64–76%
65%
Quigley, 40+ pts · 65%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Quigley, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 5th District House election be at least 31 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,612 vol
Bid 91.1¢ · Ask 98.7¢
- Quigley, 34+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 5th District House election be at least 34 percentage points?
84%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$936 vol
Bid 83¢ · Ask 84¢
- Quigley, 37+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 5th District House election be at least 37 percentage points?
76%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$44 vol
wide spread 76–87%
Bid 76¢ · Ask 87¢
- Quigley, 40+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 5th District House election be at least 40 percentage points?
65%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$250 vol
wide spread 64–76%
Bid 64¢ · Ask 76¢
- Quigley, 43+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 5th District House election be at least 43 percentage points?
54%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 50¢ · Ask 57¢
- Quigley, 46+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 5th District House election be at least 46 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 34–46%
Bid 34¢ · Ask 46¢
- Quigley, 49+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 5th District House election be at least 49 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 20–32%
Bid 20¢ · Ask 32¢
- Quigley, 52+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 5th District House election be at least 52 percentage points?
19%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7 vol
wide spread 8–19%
Bid 8¢ · Ask 19¢
- Quigley, 55+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 5th District House election be at least 55 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$50 vol
wide spread <1–11%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 11¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Illinois's 5th District by 40 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.