Selected outcome
Schneider, 19+ pts
95%
Schneider, 19+ pts · 95%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Schneider, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 10th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,759 vol
Bid 90.6¢ · Ask 99.6¢
- Schneider, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 10th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 80–90%
Bid 80¢ · Ask 90.1¢
- Schneider, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 10th District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 69–80%
Bid 69¢ · Ask 80¢
- Schneider, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 10th District House election be at least 28 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 58–69%
Bid 58¢ · Ask 69¢
- Schneider, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 10th District House election be at least 31 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 47–58%
Bid 47¢ · Ask 58¢
- Schneider, 34+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 10th District House election be at least 34 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 36–47%
Bid 36¢ · Ask 47¢
- Schneider, 37+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 10th District House election be at least 37 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 25–37%
Bid 25¢ · Ask 37¢
- Schneider, 40+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 10th District House election be at least 40 percentage points?
17%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol
wide spread 14–26%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 26¢
- Schneider, 43+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 10th District House election be at least 43 percentage points?
15%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
wide spread 4–15%
Bid 4.2¢ · Ask 15¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Illinois's 10th District by 19 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.