Selected outcome
Bost, 38+ pts
44%
Bost, 38+ pts · 44%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Bost, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 12th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90.2¢ · Ask 98.9¢
- Bost, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 12th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
86%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,230 vol
wide spread 86–97%
Bid 86¢ · Ask 96.5¢
- Bost, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 12th District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
83%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$104 vol
Bid 78¢ · Ask 88¢
- Bost, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 12th District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
67%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$34 vol
wide spread 67–79%
Bid 67¢ · Ask 79¢
- Bost, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 12th District House election be at least 35 percentage points?
58%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$29 vol
wide spread 54–66%
Bid 54¢ · Ask 66¢
- Bost, 38+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 12th District House election be at least 38 percentage points?
44%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 39¢ · Ask 49¢
- Bost, 41+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 12th District House election be at least 41 percentage points?
29%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$42 vol
wide spread 23–34%
Bid 23¢ · Ask 34¢
- Bost, 44+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 12th District House election be at least 44 percentage points?
21%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$63 vol
wide spread 11–23%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 23¢
- Bost, 47+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 12th District House election be at least 47 percentage points?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$10 vol
wide spread 2–14%
Bid 2¢ · Ask 14¢
- Bost, 50+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 12th District House election be at least 50 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7 vol
last
Ask 8.8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Illinois's 12th District by 38 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.