Selected outcome
Underwood, 8+ pts
83%
Underwood, 8+ pts · 83%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Underwood, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 14th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
74%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 69¢ · Ask 78¢
- Underwood, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 14th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
67%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$167 vol
wide spread 58–69%
Bid 58¢ · Ask 69¢
- Underwood, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 14th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
54%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$15 vol
Bid 51¢ · Ask 57¢
- Underwood, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 14th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
44%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 40¢ · Ask 47¢
- Underwood, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 14th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
33%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 29¢ · Ask 36¢
- Underwood, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 14th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
22%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 18¢ · Ask 25¢
- Underwood, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 14th District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
13%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$355 vol
wide spread 6–17%
Bid 5.9¢ · Ask 17¢
- Underwood, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 14th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
88%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$254 vol
wide spread 86–97%
Bid 86¢ · Ask 96.9¢
- Underwood, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Illinois's 14th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
83%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 78¢ · Ask 88¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Illinois's 14th District by 8 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.