Selected outcome
Miller, 33+ pts
50%
Miller, 33+ pts · 50%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Miller, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 15th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
92%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,247 vol
Bid 88¢ · Ask 95.2¢
- Miller, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 15th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
81%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 76¢ · Ask 85¢
- Miller, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 15th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
70%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 65¢ · Ask 75¢
- Miller, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 15th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
60%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
Bid 55¢ · Ask 65¢
- Miller, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 15th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
50%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 45¢ · Ask 55¢
- Miller, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 15th District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
40%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 35¢ · Ask 44¢
- Miller, 39+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 15th District House election be at least 39 percentage points?
30%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 25¢ · Ask 34¢
- Miller, 42+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 15th District House election be at least 42 percentage points?
19%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 24¢
- Miller, 45+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Illinois's 15th District House election be at least 45 percentage points?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 4.3¢ · Ask 14¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Illinois's 15th District by 33 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.