Selected outcome
Pritzker, 6+ pts
96%
Pritzker, 6+ pts · 96%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Pritzker, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Illinois be at least 15 percentage points?
88%
Open · ~$5 24h · ~$383 vol
wide spread 78–89%
Bid 78¢ · Ask 89¢
- Pritzker, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Illinois be at least 30 percentage points?
16%
Open · ~$2 24h · ~$161 vol
Bid 15¢ · Ask 17¢
- Pritzker, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Illinois be at least 33 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- Pritzker, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Illinois be at least 12 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$378 vol
wide spread 87–98%
Bid 87¢ · Ask 97.9¢
- Pritzker, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Illinois be at least 18 percentage points?
72%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$173 vol
wide spread 64–76%
Bid 64¢ · Ask 76¢
- Pritzker, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Illinois be at least 21 percentage points?
58%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$44 vol
wide spread 48–60%
Bid 48¢ · Ask 60¢
- Pritzker, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Illinois be at least 24 percentage points?
43%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$87 vol
wide spread 31–43%
Bid 31¢ · Ask 43¢
- Pritzker, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Illinois be at least 27 percentage points?
22%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7 vol
Bid 17¢ · Ask 27¢
- Pritzker, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Illinois be at least 6 percentage points?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$739 vol
Bid 92.8¢ · Ask 98.5¢
- Pritzker, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Illinois be at least 9 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$805 vol
Bid 90.5¢ · Ask 97.3¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Illinois by 6 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.