Selected outcome
Stratton, 11+ pts
88%
Stratton, 11+ pts · 88%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Stratton, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Illinois be at least 13 percentage points?
83%
Open · ~$15 24h · ~$54 vol
Bid 78¢ · Ask 87¢
- Stratton, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Illinois be at least 15 percentage points?
76%
Open · ~$15 24h · ~$32 vol
Bid 71¢ · Ask 81¢
- Stratton, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Illinois be at least 31 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 6–18%
Bid 6.2¢ · Ask 18¢
- Stratton, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Illinois be at least 11 percentage points?
88%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
Bid 85¢ · Ask 91.7¢
- Stratton, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Illinois be at least 17 percentage points?
69%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$487 vol
wide spread 63–75%
Bid 63¢ · Ask 75¢
- Stratton, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Illinois be at least 19 percentage points?
55%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$110 vol
wide spread 54–66%
Bid 54¢ · Ask 66¢
- Stratton, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Illinois be at least 21 percentage points?
48%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
wide spread 44–56%
Bid 44¢ · Ask 56¢
- Stratton, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Illinois be at least 23 percentage points?
47%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
wide spread 35–47%
Bid 35¢ · Ask 47¢
- Stratton, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Illinois be at least 25 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 26–38%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 38¢
- Stratton, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Illinois be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 18–30%
Bid 18¢ · Ask 30¢
- Stratton, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Illinois be at least 29 percentage points?
15%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$30 vol
wide spread 11–23%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 23¢
- Stratton, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Illinois be at least 9 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 85–96%
Bid 85¢ · Ask 95.9¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Illinois by 11 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.