Selected outcome
Mrvan, 12+ pts
53%
Mrvan, 12+ pts · 53%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Mrvan, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Indiana's 1st District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
53%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 48¢ · Ask 58¢
- Mrvan, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Indiana's 1st District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
48%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$159 vol
wide spread 37–48%
Bid 37¢ · Ask 48¢
- Mrvan, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Indiana's 1st District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
30%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$206 vol
Bid 27¢ · Ask 32¢
- Mrvan, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Indiana's 1st District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
21%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$70 vol
Bid 19¢ · Ask 22¢
- Mrvan, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Indiana's 1st District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
15%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$70 vol
wide spread 7–18%
Bid 6.5¢ · Ask 18¢
- Mrvan, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Indiana's 1st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
87%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 82¢ · Ask 92¢
- Mrvan, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Indiana's 1st District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
79%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$262 vol
Bid 74¢ · Ask 84¢
- Mrvan, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Indiana's 1st District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$666 vol
wide spread 64–75%
Bid 64¢ · Ask 75¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Indiana's 1st District by 12 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.