Selected outcome
Yakym, 10+ pts
wide spread 80–90%
86%
Yakym, 10+ pts · 86%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Yakym, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 2nd District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
86%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,096 vol
wide spread 80–90%
Bid 80¢ · Ask 90.4¢
- Yakym, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 2nd District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 67–79%
Bid 67¢ · Ask 79¢
- Yakym, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 2nd District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$22 vol
wide spread 55–67%
Bid 55¢ · Ask 67¢
- Yakym, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 2nd District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 42–54%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 54¢
- Yakym, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 2nd District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 29–41%
Bid 29¢ · Ask 41¢
- Yakym, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 2nd District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
22%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$95 vol
Bid 17¢ · Ask 27¢
- Yakym, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 2nd District House election be at least 28 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$225 vol
wide spread 11–23%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 23¢
- Yakym, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 2nd District House election be at least 31 percentage points?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$10 vol
wide spread 5–16%
Bid 5¢ · Ask 16¢
- Yakym, 34+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 2nd District House election be at least 34 percentage points?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$38 vol
wide spread <1–11%
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 11¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Indiana's 2nd District by 10 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.