Selected outcome
Baird, 19+ pts
wide spread 69–81%
80%
Baird, 19+ pts · 80%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Baird, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 4th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
84%
Open · ~$174 24h · ~$431 vol
Bid 80¢ · Ask 87¢
- Baird, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 4th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
92%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$96 vol
Bid 88¢ · Ask 96.5¢
- Baird, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 4th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
80%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$444 vol
wide spread 69–81%
Bid 69¢ · Ask 81¢
- Baird, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 4th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
60%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol
Bid 55¢ · Ask 65¢
- Baird, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 4th District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 40–52%
Bid 40¢ · Ask 52¢
- Baird, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 4th District House election be at least 28 percentage points?
35%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$89 vol
wide spread 25–37%
Bid 25¢ · Ask 37¢
- Baird, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 4th District House election be at least 31 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$115 vol
wide spread 12–24%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 24¢
- Baird, 34+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 4th District House election be at least 34 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 3–15%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 15¢
- Baird, 37+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 4th District House election be at least 37 percentage points?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7 vol
last
Ask 9.5¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Indiana's 4th District by 19 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.