Selected outcome
Spartz, 4+ pts
wide spread 62–74%
63%
Spartz, 4+ pts · 63%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Spartz, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 5th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
83%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,033 vol
Bid 82¢ · Ask 84¢
- Spartz, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 5th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
41%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$427 vol
wide spread 34–46%
Bid 34¢ · Ask 46¢
- Spartz, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 5th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$350 vol
wide spread 21–33%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 33¢
- Spartz, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 5th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$550 vol
wide spread 11–22%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 22¢
- Spartz, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 5th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$178 vol
wide spread 2–14%
Bid 2.4¢ · Ask 14¢
- Spartz, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 5th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$10 vol
Ask 9.8¢
- Spartz, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 5th District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$22 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 7.5¢
- Spartz, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 5th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
63%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,055 vol
wide spread 62–74%
Bid 62¢ · Ask 74¢
- Spartz, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 5th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
48%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$807 vol
wide spread 48–60%
Bid 48¢ · Ask 60¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Indiana's 5th District by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.