Selected outcome
Messmer, 20+ pts
wide spread 75–86%
Messmer, 20+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Messmer, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 8th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
91%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 86¢ · Ask 96¢
- Messmer, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 8th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 75–86%
Bid 75¢ · Ask 86¢
- Messmer, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 8th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 64–76%
Bid 64¢ · Ask 76¢
- Messmer, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 8th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 54–66%
Bid 54¢ · Ask 66¢
- Messmer, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 8th District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 43–55%
Bid 43¢ · Ask 55¢
- Messmer, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 8th District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 32–44%
Bid 32¢ · Ask 44¢
- Messmer, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 8th District House election be at least 35 percentage points?
22%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$28 vol
wide spread 21–32%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 32¢
- Messmer, 38+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 8th District House election be at least 38 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 12–24%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 24¢
- Messmer, 41+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Indiana's 8th District House election be at least 41 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 3–15%
Bid 3.2¢ · Ask 15¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Indiana's 8th District by 20 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.