Selected outcome
Mann, 19+ pts
wide spread 72–83%
82%
Mann, 19+ pts · 82%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Mann, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 1st District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 82–92%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 92.3¢
- Mann, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 1st District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
82%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
wide spread 72–83%
Bid 72¢ · Ask 83¢
- Mann, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 1st District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 58–70%
Bid 58¢ · Ask 70¢
- Mann, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 1st District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
wide spread 43–55%
Bid 43¢ · Ask 55¢
- Mann, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 1st District House election be at least 28 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
wide spread 28–40%
Bid 28¢ · Ask 40¢
- Mann, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 1st District House election be at least 31 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$46 vol
wide spread 15–27%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 27¢
- Mann, 34+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 1st District House election be at least 34 percentage points?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$28 vol
wide spread 6–17%
Bid 5.9¢ · Ask 17¢
- Mann, 37+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 1st District House election be at least 37 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread <1–12%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 12¢
- Mann, 40+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 1st District House election be at least 40 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
last
Ask 9.3¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Kansas's 1st District by 19 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.