Selected outcome
Schmidt, 22+ pts
wide spread 1–12%
Schmidt, 22+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Schmidt, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
87%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,313 vol
Bid 82¢ · Ask 91.1¢
- Schmidt, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 2nd District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
47%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$128 vol
Bid 46¢ · Ask 47¢
- Schmidt, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 2nd District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
34%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$530 vol
wide spread 31–42%
Bid 31¢ · Ask 42¢
- Schmidt, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 2nd District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 17–29%
Bid 17¢ · Ask 29¢
- Schmidt, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 2nd District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol
wide spread 8–19%
Bid 7.5¢ · Ask 19¢
- Schmidt, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 2nd District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
wide spread 1–12%
Bid 0.7¢ · Ask 12¢
- Schmidt, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 2nd District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 8.7¢
- Schmidt, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 2nd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
73%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,081 vol
Bid 72¢ · Ask 73¢
- Schmidt, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kansas's 2nd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
62%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$452 vol
Bid 60¢ · Ask 64¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Kansas's 2nd District by 22 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.