Selected outcome
Davids, 11+ pts
82%
Davids, 11+ pts · 82%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Davids, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kansas's 3rd District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
82%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,094 vol
Bid 77¢ · Ask 86¢
- Davids, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kansas's 3rd District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
71%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,472 vol
Bid 66¢ · Ask 76¢
- Davids, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kansas's 3rd District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
58%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$491 vol
Bid 53¢ · Ask 63¢
- Davids, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kansas's 3rd District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
52%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,419 vol
wide spread 41–52%
Bid 41¢ · Ask 52¢
- Davids, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kansas's 3rd District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
35%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$704 vol
Bid 30¢ · Ask 40¢
- Davids, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kansas's 3rd District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
19%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$582 vol
wide spread 18–29%
Bid 18¢ · Ask 29¢
- Davids, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kansas's 3rd District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$302 vol
Bid 7.2¢ · Ask 17¢
- Davids, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kansas's 3rd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
93%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,522 vol
Bid 90.7¢ · Ask 95.1¢
- Davids, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kansas's 3rd District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
91%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,496 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 93.7¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Kansas's 3rd District by 11 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.