Selected outcome
Hamilton, 7+ pts
9%
Hamilton, 7+ pts · 9%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Kansas Secretary of State, Elections Division (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- Hamilton, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 7 percentage points?
9%
Open · ~$13 24h · ~$28 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 11¢
- Hamilton, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 1 percentage point?
38%
Open · ~$5 24h · ~$417 vol
Bid 37¢ · Ask 38¢
- Hamilton, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 3 percentage points?
24%
Open · ~$3 24h · ~$340 vol
Bid 23¢ · Ask 24¢
- Hamilton, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 5 percentage points?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$24 vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 15¢
- Hamilton, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 9 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$136 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 7.4¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas by 7 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.