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Kansas Senate margin of victory

Open

On November 3, 2026

Selected outcome

Marshall, 5+ pts

26%

Marshall, 5+ pts · 26%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
official election authority responsible for certifying results in (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Marshall, 1+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 1 percentage points?

    56%

    Open · ~$512 24h · ~$1,258 vol

    Bid 54¢ · Ask 57¢

    Open full market view →
  • Marshall, 3+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 3 percentage points?

    44%

    Open · ~$359 24h · ~$8,669 vol

    Bid 43¢ · Ask 45¢

    Open full market view →
  • Marshall, 5+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 5 percentage points?

    26%

    Open · ~$46 24h · ~$3,797 vol

    Bid 25¢ · Ask 26¢

    Open full market view →
  • Marshall, 7+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 7 percentage points?

    14%

    Open · ~$6 24h · ~$1,768 vol

    Bid 9.3¢ · Ask 18¢

    Open full market view →
  • Marshall, 13+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 13 percentage points?

    3%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$11 vol

    Bid 2¢ · Ask 4.9¢

    Open full market view →
  • Marshall, 11+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 11 percentage points?

    5%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$258 vol

    Bid 3¢ · Ask 6.9¢

    Open full market view →
  • Marshall, 15+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 15 percentage points?

    4%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$36 vol

    Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 6.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • Marshall, 9+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 9 percentage points?

    10%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,965 vol

    Bid 8.1¢ · Ask 11¢

    Open full market view →
  • Marshall, 17+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 17 percentage points?

    5%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$82 vol

    last

    Ask 5.9¢

    Open full market view →
  • Marshall, 19+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 19 percentage points?

    3%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$24 vol

    last

    Ask 5.9¢

    Open full market view →
  • Marshall, 21+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 21 percentage points?

    5%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol

    last

    Ask 4.9¢

    Open full market view →
  • Marshall, 23+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 23 percentage points?

    4%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol

    last

    Ask 4¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$924
Volume
~$18k
Liquidity
—
Open int.
42k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

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