Selected outcome
Guthrie, 45+ pts
5%
Guthrie, 45+ pts · 5%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Guthrie, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 2nd District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
92%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,255 vol
Bid 90¢ · Ask 94.8¢
- Guthrie, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 2nd District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 73–85%
Bid 73¢ · Ask 85¢
- Guthrie, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 2nd District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 60–72%
Bid 60¢ · Ask 72¢
- Guthrie, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 2nd District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 44–56%
Bid 44¢ · Ask 56¢
- Guthrie, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 2nd District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 28–40%
Bid 28¢ · Ask 40¢
- Guthrie, 39+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 2nd District House election be at least 39 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 14–26%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 26¢
- Guthrie, 42+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 2nd District House election be at least 42 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$368 vol
wide spread 4–16%
Bid 4.2¢ · Ask 16¢
- Guthrie, 45+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 2nd District House election be at least 45 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$62 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- Guthrie, 48+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 2nd District House election be at least 48 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$221 vol
Ask 7.3¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Kentucky's 2nd District by 45 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.