Selected outcome
McGarvey, 38+ pts
wide spread 15–26%
McGarvey, 38+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- McGarvey, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kentucky's 3rd District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,232 vol
Bid 91¢ · Ask 96¢
- McGarvey, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kentucky's 3rd District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
86%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 81¢ · Ask 90.4¢
- McGarvey, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kentucky's 3rd District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
75%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 70¢ · Ask 80¢
- McGarvey, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kentucky's 3rd District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
65%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
Bid 60¢ · Ask 69¢
- McGarvey, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kentucky's 3rd District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
54%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$38 vol
Bid 49¢ · Ask 58¢
- McGarvey, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kentucky's 3rd District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 37–48%
Bid 37¢ · Ask 48¢
- McGarvey, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kentucky's 3rd District House election be at least 35 percentage points?
28%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$17 vol
wide spread 26–37%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 37¢
- McGarvey, 38+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kentucky's 3rd District House election be at least 38 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 15–26%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 26¢
- McGarvey, 41+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Kentucky's 3rd District House election be at least 41 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 5–15%
Bid 4.6¢ · Ask 15¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Kentucky's 3rd District by 38 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.