Selected outcome
Rogers, 45+ pts
81%
Rogers, 45+ pts · 81%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Rogers, 42+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 5th District House election be at least 42 percentage points?
90%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,298 vol
Bid 87¢ · Ask 92.4¢
- Rogers, 45+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 5th District House election be at least 45 percentage points?
81%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 78¢ · Ask 83¢
- Rogers, 48+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 5th District House election be at least 48 percentage points?
69%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 64¢ · Ask 73¢
- Rogers, 51+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 5th District House election be at least 51 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 45–57%
Bid 45¢ · Ask 57¢
- Rogers, 54+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 5th District House election be at least 54 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 26–38%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 38¢
- Rogers, 57+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 5th District House election be at least 57 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 11–22%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 22¢
- Rogers, 60+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 5th District House election be at least 60 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread <1–12%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 12¢
- Rogers, 63+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 5th District House election be at least 63 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$175 vol
Ask 7.6¢
- Rogers, 66+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Kentucky's 5th District House election be at least 66 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$35 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6.2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Kentucky's 5th District by 45 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.