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Kentucky Senate margin of victory

Open

On November 3, 2026

Selected outcome

Barr, 18+ pts

wide spread 40–52%

46%

Barr, 18+ pts · 46%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
official election authority responsible for certifying results in (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Barr, 12+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Kentucky be at least 12 percentage points?

    78%

    Open · ~$1 24h · ~$151 vol

    Bid 74¢ · Ask 82¢

    Open full market view →
  • Barr, 10+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Kentucky be at least 10 percentage points?

    85%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 83¢ · Ask 86¢

    Open full market view →
  • Barr, 14+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Kentucky be at least 14 percentage points?

    65%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$57 vol

    wide spread 62–73%

    Bid 62¢ · Ask 73¢

    Open full market view →
  • Barr, 16+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Kentucky be at least 16 percentage points?

    54%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$202 vol

    wide spread 51–63%

    Bid 51¢ · Ask 63¢

    Open full market view →
  • Barr, 18+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Kentucky be at least 18 percentage points?

    46%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$190 vol

    wide spread 40–52%

    Bid 40¢ · Ask 52¢

    Open full market view →
  • Barr, 20+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Kentucky be at least 20 percentage points?

    39%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$40 vol

    Bid 35¢ · Ask 42¢

    Open full market view →
  • Barr, 22+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Kentucky be at least 22 percentage points?

    31%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$67 vol

    wide spread 20–32%

    Bid 20¢ · Ask 32¢

    Open full market view →
  • Barr, 24+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Kentucky be at least 24 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$13 vol

    wide spread 14–26%

    Bid 14¢ · Ask 26¢

    Open full market view →
  • Barr, 26+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Kentucky be at least 26 percentage points?

    19%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$26 vol

    Bid 17¢ · Ask 20¢

    Open full market view →
  • Barr, 28+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Kentucky be at least 28 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 4–15%

    Bid 3.5¢ · Ask 15¢

    Open full market view →
  • Barr, 30+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Kentucky be at least 30 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread <1–11%

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 11¢

    Open full market view →
  • Barr, 32+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Kentucky be at least 32 percentage points?

    5%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol

    Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 9.4¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$1
Volume
~$746
Liquidity
—
Open int.
1,417 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kentucky by 18 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

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