Selected outcome
Republicans, 20+ pts
94%
Republicans, 20+ pts · 94%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Republicans, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 1st District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$405 vol
Bid 90.2¢ · Ask 97.7¢
- Republicans, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 1st District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
84%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$528 vol
wide spread 82–93%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 93.4¢
- Republicans, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 1st District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
79%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$227 vol
wide spread 77–88%
Bid 77¢ · Ask 88¢
- Republicans, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 1st District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
70%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$111 vol
wide spread 68–80%
Bid 68¢ · Ask 80¢
- Republicans, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 1st District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$55 vol
wide spread 57–69%
Bid 57¢ · Ask 69¢
- Republicans, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 1st District House election be at least 35 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$39 vol
wide spread 44–56%
Bid 44¢ · Ask 56¢
- Republicans, 38+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 1st District House election be at least 38 percentage points?
31%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$31 vol
wide spread 29–41%
Bid 29¢ · Ask 41¢
- Republicans, 41+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 1st District House election be at least 41 percentage points?
18%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$18 vol
wide spread 16–28%
Bid 16¢ · Ask 28¢
- Republicans, 44+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 1st District House election be at least 44 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol
wide spread 5–17%
Bid 5.4¢ · Ask 17¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Louisiana's 1st District by 20 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.