Selected outcome
Democrats, 41+ pts
wide spread 75–86%
83%
Democrats, 41+ pts · 83%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Democrats, 53+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Louisiana's 2nd District House election be at least 53 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 36–48%
Bid 36¢ · Ask 48¢
- Democrats, 56+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Louisiana's 2nd District House election be at least 56 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 23–35%
Bid 23¢ · Ask 35¢
- Democrats, 59+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Louisiana's 2nd District House election be at least 59 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 13–25%
Bid 13¢ · Ask 25¢
- Democrats, 62+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Louisiana's 2nd District House election be at least 62 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 4–16%
Bid 4.1¢ · Ask 16¢
- Democrats, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Louisiana's 2nd District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,038 vol
Bid 93¢ · Ask 98.9¢
- Democrats, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Louisiana's 2nd District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$234 vol
Bid 92.1¢ · Ask 99.5¢
- Democrats, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Louisiana's 2nd District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$372 vol
Bid 90.1¢ · Ask 99.8¢
- Democrats, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Louisiana's 2nd District House election be at least 35 percentage points?
89%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$848 vol
wide spread 86–97%
Bid 86¢ · Ask 97.3¢
- Democrats, 38+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Louisiana's 2nd District House election be at least 38 percentage points?
89%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,074 vol
wide spread 81–92%
Bid 81¢ · Ask 92.2¢
- Democrats, 41+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Louisiana's 2nd District House election be at least 41 percentage points?
83%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$690 vol
wide spread 75–86%
Bid 75¢ · Ask 86¢
- Democrats, 44+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Louisiana's 2nd District House election be at least 44 percentage points?
71%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$254 vol
wide spread 69–80%
Bid 69¢ · Ask 80¢
- Democrats, 47+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Louisiana's 2nd District House election be at least 47 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$977 vol
wide spread 60–71%
Bid 60¢ · Ask 71¢
- Democrats, 50+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Louisiana's 2nd District House election be at least 50 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$463 vol
wide spread 49–60%
Bid 49¢ · Ask 60¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Louisiana's 2nd District by 41 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.