Selected outcome
Republicans, 28+ pts
wide spread 62–73%
66%
Republicans, 28+ pts · 66%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Republicans, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 3rd District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
74%
Open · ~$37 24h · ~$37 vol
wide spread 69–81%
Bid 69¢ · Ask 81¢
- Republicans, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 3rd District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 82–94%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 93.5¢
- Republicans, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 3rd District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 76–87%
Bid 76¢ · Ask 87¢
- Republicans, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 3rd District House election be at least 28 percentage points?
66%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$36 vol
wide spread 62–73%
Bid 62¢ · Ask 73¢
- Republicans, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 3rd District House election be at least 31 percentage points?
58%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$32 vol
wide spread 53–64%
Bid 53¢ · Ask 64¢
- Republicans, 34+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 3rd District House election be at least 34 percentage points?
51%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$28 vol
Bid 46¢ · Ask 55¢
- Republicans, 37+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 3rd District House election be at least 37 percentage points?
42%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$23 vol
wide spread 36–47%
Bid 36¢ · Ask 47¢
- Republicans, 40+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 3rd District House election be at least 40 percentage points?
32%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$120 vol
Bid 28¢ · Ask 35¢
- Republicans, 43+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 3rd District House election be at least 43 percentage points?
17%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$137 vol
wide spread 16–27%
Bid 16¢ · Ask 27¢
- Republicans, 46+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 3rd District House election be at least 46 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 8–19%
Bid 8¢ · Ask 19¢
- Republicans, 49+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 3rd District House election be at least 49 percentage points?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2.3¢ · Ask 11¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Louisiana's 3rd District by 28 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.