Selected outcome
Republicans, 48+ pts
wide spread 33–45%
45%
Republicans, 48+ pts · 45%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Republicans, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 5th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
68%
Open · ~$5 24h · ~$627 vol
wide spread 57–68%
Bid 57¢ · Ask 68¢
- Republicans, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 5th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
83%
Open · ~$4 24h · ~$1,240 vol
Bid 79¢ · Ask 87¢
- Republicans, 42+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 5th District House election be at least 42 percentage points?
42%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$2,618 vol
Bid 37¢ · Ask 47¢
- Republicans, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 5th District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$1,233 vol
wide spread 51–63%
Bid 51¢ · Ask 63¢
- Republicans, 54+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 5th District House election be at least 54 percentage points?
38%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$66 vol
wide spread 29–41%
Bid 29¢ · Ask 41¢
- Republicans, 57+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 5th District House election be at least 57 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 28–40%
Bid 28¢ · Ask 40¢
- Republicans, 60+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 5th District House election be at least 60 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 27–39%
Bid 27¢ · Ask 39¢
- Republicans, 63+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 5th District House election be at least 63 percentage points?
37%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$673 vol
wide spread 26–38%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 38¢
- Republicans, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 5th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 88–99%
Bid 88¢ · Ask 98.7¢
- Republicans, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 5th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 87–98%
Bid 87¢ · Ask 98.2¢
- Republicans, 45+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 5th District House election be at least 45 percentage points?
47%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$339 vol
wide spread 36–47%
Bid 36¢ · Ask 47¢
- Republicans, 48+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 5th District House election be at least 48 percentage points?
45%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$239 vol
wide spread 33–45%
Bid 33¢ · Ask 45¢
- Republicans, 51+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 5th District House election be at least 51 percentage points?
38%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$577 vol
Bid 33¢ · Ask 43¢
- Republicans, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 5th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 88–99%
Bid 88¢ · Ask 98.7¢
- Republicans, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 5th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$852 vol
wide spread 86–97%
Bid 86¢ · Ask 97.1¢
- Republicans, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 5th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$253 vol
wide spread 56–68%
Bid 56¢ · Ask 68¢
- Republicans, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 5th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
66%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,189 vol
wide spread 55–67%
Bid 55¢ · Ask 67¢
- Republicans, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 5th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$244 vol
wide spread 54–66%
Bid 54¢ · Ask 66¢
- Republicans, 39+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Louisiana's 5th District House election be at least 39 percentage points?
49%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,808 vol
wide spread 45–57%
Bid 45¢ · Ask 57¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Louisiana's 5th District by 48 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.