Selected outcome
Neal, 12+ pts
95%
Neal, 12+ pts · 95%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Neal, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 1st District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 92.4¢ · Ask 98.3¢
- Neal, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 1st District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$9 vol
Bid 90.1¢ · Ask 99.7¢
- Neal, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 1st District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$55 vol
wide spread 85–97%
Bid 85¢ · Ask 96.9¢
- Neal, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 1st District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
81%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$97 vol
wide spread 76–87%
Bid 76¢ · Ask 87¢
- Neal, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 1st District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$29 vol
wide spread 65–77%
Bid 65¢ · Ask 77¢
- Neal, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 1st District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$23 vol
wide spread 50–62%
Bid 50¢ · Ask 62¢
- Neal, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 1st District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
35%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$18 vol
wide spread 33–45%
Bid 33¢ · Ask 45¢
- Neal, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 1st District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
25%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$13 vol
wide spread 17–29%
Bid 17¢ · Ask 29¢
- Neal, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 1st District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$78 vol
wide spread 4–15%
Bid 3.8¢ · Ask 15¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Massachusetts's 1st District by 12 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.