Selected outcome
McGovern, 38+ pts
97%
McGovern, 38+ pts · 97%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- McGovern, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 2nd District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,238 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 99.7¢
- McGovern, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 2nd District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$54 vol
Bid 94.1¢ · Ask 99.7¢
- McGovern, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 2nd District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
Bid 93.9¢ · Ask 97.7¢
- McGovern, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 2nd District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$57 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 99.4¢
- McGovern, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 2nd District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$182 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 99.7¢
- McGovern, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 2nd District House election be at least 35 percentage points?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$67 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 99.7¢
- McGovern, 38+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 2nd District House election be at least 38 percentage points?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,365 vol
Bid 93.9¢ · Ask 99.3¢
- McGovern, 41+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 2nd District House election be at least 41 percentage points?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$139 vol
Bid 93.9¢ · Ask 99.6¢
- McGovern, 44+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 2nd District House election be at least 44 percentage points?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,411 vol
Bid 93.9¢ · Ask 99.9¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Massachusetts's 2nd District by 38 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.