Selected outcome
Trahan, 43+ pts
wide spread 4–15%
Trahan, 43+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Trahan, 43+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 3rd District House election be at least 43 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 4–15%
Bid 3.7¢ · Ask 15¢
- Trahan, 46+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 3rd District House election be at least 46 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 9.6¢
- Trahan, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 3rd District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$82 vol
Bid 93.1¢ · Ask 99.2¢
- Trahan, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 3rd District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 91.6¢ · Ask 99.2¢
- Trahan, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 3rd District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$39 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 98.6¢
- Trahan, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 3rd District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
86%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$142 vol
wide spread 84–95%
Bid 84¢ · Ask 94.5¢
- Trahan, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 3rd District House election be at least 28 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$145 vol
wide spread 73–85%
Bid 73¢ · Ask 85¢
- Trahan, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 3rd District House election be at least 31 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$32 vol
wide spread 61–73%
Bid 61¢ · Ask 73¢
- Trahan, 34+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 3rd District House election be at least 34 percentage points?
53%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$85 vol
wide spread 46–58%
Bid 46¢ · Ask 58¢
- Trahan, 37+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 3rd District House election be at least 37 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$13 vol
wide spread 28–40%
Bid 28¢ · Ask 40¢
- Trahan, 40+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 3rd District House election be at least 40 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$91 vol
wide spread 14–25%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 25¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Massachusetts's 3rd District by 43 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.