Selected outcome
Auchincloss, 32+ pts
wide spread 45–57%
Auchincloss, 32+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Auchincloss, 44+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 4th District House election be at least 44 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 11¢
- Auchincloss, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 4th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 91.4¢ · Ask 99.8¢
- Auchincloss, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 4th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$35 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 98.9¢
- Auchincloss, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 4th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
wide spread 84–94%
Bid 84¢ · Ask 94.4¢
- Auchincloss, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 4th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 73–85%
Bid 73¢ · Ask 85¢
- Auchincloss, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 4th District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
61%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$86 vol
wide spread 60–72%
Bid 60¢ · Ask 72¢
- Auchincloss, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 4th District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 45–57%
Bid 45¢ · Ask 57¢
- Auchincloss, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 4th District House election be at least 35 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 30–42%
Bid 30¢ · Ask 42¢
- Auchincloss, 38+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 4th District House election be at least 38 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 16–28%
Bid 16¢ · Ask 28¢
- Auchincloss, 41+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 4th District House election be at least 41 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 6–17%
Bid 5.9¢ · Ask 17¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Massachusetts's 4th District by 32 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.