Selected outcome
Lynch, 43+ pts
wide spread 49–60%
Lynch, 43+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Lynch, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 8th District House election be at least 28 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90.1¢ · Ask 99.8¢
- Lynch, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 8th District House election be at least 31 percentage points?
88%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$52 vol
wide spread 85–97%
Bid 85¢ · Ask 96.9¢
- Lynch, 34+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 8th District House election be at least 34 percentage points?
79%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$40 vol
wide spread 79–91%
Bid 79¢ · Ask 90.9¢
- Lynch, 37+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 8th District House election be at least 37 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$173 vol
wide spread 70–82%
Bid 70¢ · Ask 82¢
- Lynch, 40+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 8th District House election be at least 40 percentage points?
68%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$74 vol
wide spread 59–71%
Bid 59¢ · Ask 71¢
- Lynch, 43+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 8th District House election be at least 43 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$26 vol
wide spread 49–60%
Bid 49¢ · Ask 60¢
- Lynch, 46+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 8th District House election be at least 46 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 32–44%
Bid 32¢ · Ask 44¢
- Lynch, 49+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 8th District House election be at least 49 percentage points?
22%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 19¢ · Ask 25¢
- Lynch, 52+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 8th District House election be at least 52 percentage points?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
Bid 9¢ · Ask 14¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Massachusetts's 8th District by 43 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.