Selected outcome
Keating, 23+ pts
wide spread 52–64%
Keating, 23+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Keating, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 9th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
90%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90.1¢ · Ask 90.6¢
- Keating, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 9th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
90%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$48 vol
Bid 86¢ · Ask 94.8¢
- Keating, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 9th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$173 vol
wide spread 77–88%
Bid 77¢ · Ask 88¢
- Keating, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 9th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$29 vol
wide spread 66–78%
Bid 66¢ · Ask 78¢
- Keating, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 9th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$24 vol
wide spread 52–64%
Bid 52¢ · Ask 64¢
- Keating, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 9th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$168 vol
wide spread 36–48%
Bid 36¢ · Ask 48¢
- Keating, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 9th District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
24%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 22¢ · Ask 26¢
- Keating, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 9th District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
13%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$130 vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 14¢
- Keating, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Massachusetts's 9th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 92.1¢ · Ask 99.4¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Massachusetts's 9th District by 23 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.