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Massachusetts Senate margin of victory

Open

On November 3, 2026

Selected outcome

Markey, 35+ pts

wide spread 13–25%

24%

Markey, 35+ pts · 24%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
official election authority responsible for certifying results in (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Markey, 25+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Massachusetts be at least 25 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$152 24h · ~$152 vol

    wide spread 64–75%

    Bid 64¢ · Ask 75¢

    Open full market view →
  • Markey, 37+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Massachusetts be at least 37 percentage points?

    15%

    Open · ~$2 24h · ~$65 vol

    wide spread 6–17%

    Bid 5.8¢ · Ask 17¢

    Open full market view →
  • Markey, 21+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Massachusetts be at least 21 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$9 vol

    wide spread 81–91%

    Bid 81¢ · Ask 91.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • Markey, 23+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Massachusetts be at least 23 percentage points?

    83%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$332 vol

    wide spread 73–85%

    Bid 73¢ · Ask 85¢

    Open full market view →
  • Markey, 27+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Massachusetts be at least 27 percentage points?

    59%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$236 vol

    wide spread 54–66%

    Bid 54¢ · Ask 66¢

    Open full market view →
  • Markey, 29+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Massachusetts be at least 29 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$118 vol

    wide spread 43–55%

    Bid 43¢ · Ask 55¢

    Open full market view →
  • Markey, 31+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Massachusetts be at least 31 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$720 vol

    wide spread 32–43%

    Bid 32¢ · Ask 43¢

    Open full market view →
  • Markey, 33+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Massachusetts be at least 33 percentage points?

    25%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$462 vol

    wide spread 23–34%

    Bid 23¢ · Ask 34¢

    Open full market view →
  • Markey, 35+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Massachusetts be at least 35 percentage points?

    24%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$128 vol

    wide spread 13–25%

    Bid 13¢ · Ask 25¢

    Open full market view →
  • Markey, 39+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Massachusetts be at least 39 percentage points?

    7%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 2.1¢ · Ask 12¢

    Open full market view →
  • Markey, 41+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Massachusetts be at least 41 percentage points?

    6%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$124 vol

    Bid 2¢ · Ask 9.4¢

    Open full market view →
  • Markey, 43+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Massachusetts be at least 43 percentage points?

    8%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$50 vol

    last

    Ask 7.6¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$154
Volume
~$2,396
Liquidity
—
Open int.
3,913 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Massachusetts by 35 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

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