Selected outcome
Olszewski, 14+ pts
92%
Olszewski, 14+ pts · 92%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Olszewski, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 2nd District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
92%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 95.3¢
- Olszewski, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 2nd District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
84%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$25 vol
Bid 83¢ · Ask 85¢
- Olszewski, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 2nd District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
75%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$38 vol
wide spread 75–86%
Bid 75¢ · Ask 86¢
- Olszewski, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 2nd District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
69%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,090 vol
wide spread 65–77%
Bid 65¢ · Ask 77¢
- Olszewski, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 2nd District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
55%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$875 vol
wide spread 54–66%
Bid 54¢ · Ask 66¢
- Olszewski, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 2nd District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
43%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$614 vol
Bid 40¢ · Ask 45¢
- Olszewski, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 2nd District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
31%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$420 vol
Bid 27¢ · Ask 35¢
- Olszewski, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 2nd District House election be at least 35 percentage points?
18%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$49 vol
wide spread 15–27%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 27¢
- Olszewski, 38+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 2nd District House election be at least 38 percentage points?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 6.5¢ · Ask 15¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Maryland's 2nd District by 14 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.