Selected outcome
Elfreth, 34+ pts
41%
Elfreth, 34+ pts · 41%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Elfreth, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 3rd District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$28 vol
Bid 90.1¢ · Ask 98.3¢
- Elfreth, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 3rd District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
80%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$80 vol
wide spread 79–91%
Bid 79¢ · Ask 90.7¢
- Elfreth, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 3rd District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
74%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$77 vol
Bid 69¢ · Ask 78¢
- Elfreth, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 3rd District House election be at least 28 percentage points?
63%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 58¢ · Ask 68¢
- Elfreth, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 3rd District House election be at least 31 percentage points?
52%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 47¢ · Ask 57¢
- Elfreth, 34+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 3rd District House election be at least 34 percentage points?
41%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 36¢ · Ask 46¢
- Elfreth, 37+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 3rd District House election be at least 37 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 25–36%
Bid 25¢ · Ask 36¢
- Elfreth, 40+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 3rd District House election be at least 40 percentage points?
17%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
wide spread 14–25%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 25¢
- Elfreth, 43+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 3rd District House election be at least 43 percentage points?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 4.3¢ · Ask 14¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Maryland's 3rd District by 34 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.