Selected outcome
Ivey, 64+ pts
96%
Ivey, 64+ pts · 96%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Ivey, 64+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 4th District House election be at least 64 percentage points?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,280 vol
Bid 93¢ · Ask 99.1¢
- Ivey, 67+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 4th District House election be at least 67 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 84–95%
Bid 84¢ · Ask 95.3¢
- Ivey, 70+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 4th District House election be at least 70 percentage points?
83%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$203 vol
Bid 78¢ · Ask 88¢
- Ivey, 73+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 4th District House election be at least 73 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$170 vol
wide spread 70–82%
Bid 70¢ · Ask 82¢
- Ivey, 76+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 4th District House election be at least 76 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$143 vol
wide spread 59–71%
Bid 59¢ · Ask 71¢
- Ivey, 79+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 4th District House election be at least 79 percentage points?
47%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$24 vol
wide spread 46–58%
Bid 46¢ · Ask 58¢
- Ivey, 82+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 4th District House election be at least 82 percentage points?
34%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 31¢ · Ask 36¢
- Ivey, 85+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 4th District House election be at least 85 percentage points?
22%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$23 vol
Bid 17¢ · Ask 26¢
- Ivey, 88+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 4th District House election be at least 88 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 3–15%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 15¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Maryland's 4th District by 64 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.