Selected outcome
Raskin, 50+ pts
96%
Raskin, 50+ pts · 96%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Raskin, 50+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 8th District House election be at least 50 percentage points?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,089 vol
Bid 91.9¢ · Ask 99.8¢
- Raskin, 53+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 8th District House election be at least 53 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 81–91%
Bid 81¢ · Ask 91.2¢
- Raskin, 56+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 8th District House election be at least 56 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 70–81%
Bid 70¢ · Ask 81¢
- Raskin, 59+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 8th District House election be at least 59 percentage points?
65%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$168 vol
Bid 60¢ · Ask 70¢
- Raskin, 62+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 8th District House election be at least 62 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 48–59%
Bid 48¢ · Ask 59¢
- Raskin, 65+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 8th District House election be at least 65 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 37–48%
Bid 37¢ · Ask 48¢
- Raskin, 68+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 8th District House election be at least 68 percentage points?
32%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 27¢ · Ask 37¢
- Raskin, 71+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 8th District House election be at least 71 percentage points?
21%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$24 vol
Bid 16¢ · Ask 26¢
- Raskin, 74+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Maryland's 8th District House election be at least 74 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 5–15%
Bid 4.9¢ · Ask 15¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Maryland's 8th District by 50 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.