Selected outcome
Moolenaar, 18+ pts
80%
Moolenaar, 18+ pts · 80%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Moolenaar, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 2nd District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
89%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$160 vol
Bid 86¢ · Ask 91¢
- Moolenaar, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 2nd District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
80%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 77¢ · Ask 82¢
- Moolenaar, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 2nd District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
69%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 65¢ · Ask 72¢
- Moolenaar, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 2nd District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 50–62%
Bid 50¢ · Ask 62¢
- Moolenaar, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 2nd District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 34–46%
Bid 34¢ · Ask 46¢
- Moolenaar, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 2nd District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
29%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$147 vol
wide spread 21–32%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 32¢
- Moolenaar, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 2nd District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$44 vol
wide spread 9–20%
Bid 8.7¢ · Ask 20¢
- Moolenaar, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 2nd District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 1–12%
Bid 0.9¢ · Ask 12¢
- Moolenaar, 39+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 2nd District House election be at least 39 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 8.6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Michigan's 2nd District by 18 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.