Selected outcome
Scholten, 22+ pts
wide spread 17–28%
Scholten, 22+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Scholten, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 3rd District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
77%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$616 vol
wide spread 72–84%
Bid 72¢ · Ask 84¢
- Scholten, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 3rd District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
63%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$504 vol
wide spread 59–71%
Bid 59¢ · Ask 71¢
- Scholten, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 3rd District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$467 vol
wide spread 44–56%
Bid 44¢ · Ask 56¢
- Scholten, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 3rd District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
38%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$230 vol
wide spread 29–41%
Bid 29¢ · Ask 41¢
- Scholten, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 3rd District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$394 vol
wide spread 17–28%
Bid 17¢ · Ask 28¢
- Scholten, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 3rd District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$230 vol
wide spread 7–18%
Bid 6.7¢ · Ask 18¢
- Scholten, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 3rd District House election be at least 28 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread <1–12%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 12¢
- Scholten, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 3rd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
92%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
Bid 88¢ · Ask 95.3¢
- Scholten, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 3rd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
86%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 82¢ · Ask 90¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Michigan's 3rd District by 22 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.