Selected outcome
Walberg, 13+ pts
wide spread 81–92%
84%
Walberg, 13+ pts · 84%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Walberg, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 5th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
84%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$922 vol
wide spread 81–92%
Bid 81¢ · Ask 92.3¢
- Walberg, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 5th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 70–82%
Bid 70¢ · Ask 82¢
- Walberg, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 5th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 58–70%
Bid 58¢ · Ask 70¢
- Walberg, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 5th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 47–59%
Bid 47¢ · Ask 59¢
- Walberg, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 5th District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$39 vol
wide spread 36–48%
Bid 36¢ · Ask 48¢
- Walberg, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 5th District House election be at least 28 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 25–37%
Bid 25¢ · Ask 37¢
- Walberg, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 5th District House election be at least 31 percentage points?
23%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$63 vol
wide spread 14–25%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 25¢
- Walberg, 34+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 5th District House election be at least 34 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 8–19%
Bid 7.7¢ · Ask 19¢
- Walberg, 37+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 5th District House election be at least 37 percentage points?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$92 vol
Bid 7¢ · Ask 11¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Michigan's 5th District by 13 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.