Selected outcome
McClain, 40+ pts
5%
McClain, 40+ pts · 5%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- McClain, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 9th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
91%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$44 vol
wide spread 82–93%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 92.9¢
- McClain, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 9th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 71–83%
Bid 71¢ · Ask 83¢
- McClain, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 9th District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
69%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$42 vol
wide spread 57–69%
Bid 57¢ · Ask 69¢
- McClain, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 9th District House election be at least 28 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 41–53%
Bid 41¢ · Ask 53¢
- McClain, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 9th District House election be at least 31 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 25–37%
Bid 25¢ · Ask 37¢
- McClain, 34+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 9th District House election be at least 34 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$68 vol
wide spread 12–24%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 24¢
- McClain, 37+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 9th District House election be at least 37 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$36 vol
wide spread 3–14%
Bid 2.7¢ · Ask 14¢
- McClain, 40+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 9th District House election be at least 40 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$15 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 9¢
- McClain, 43+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Michigan's 9th District House election be at least 43 percentage points?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$22 vol
Bid 8¢ · Ask 8.6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Michigan's 9th District by 40 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.