Selected outcome
Moss, 35+ pts
9%
Moss, 35+ pts · 9%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Moss, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 11th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$24 vol
Bid 90.1¢ · Ask 97.6¢
- Moss, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 11th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 79–91%
Bid 79¢ · Ask 90.8¢
- Moss, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 11th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
73%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 69¢ · Ask 77¢
- Moss, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 11th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
63%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$44 vol
Bid 58¢ · Ask 67¢
- Moss, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 11th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
52%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 48¢ · Ask 56¢
- Moss, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 11th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
42%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 38¢ · Ask 46¢
- Moss, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 11th District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
36%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$55 vol
wide spread 29–40%
Bid 29¢ · Ask 40¢
- Moss, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 11th District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
21%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 16¢ · Ask 25¢
- Moss, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 11th District House election be at least 35 percentage points?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$100 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 14¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Michigan's 11th District by 35 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.