Selected outcome
Tlaib, 34+ pts
96%
Tlaib, 34+ pts · 96%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Tlaib, 55+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 12th District House election be at least 55 percentage points?
16%
Open · ~$6 24h · ~$6 vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 21¢
- Tlaib, 34+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 12th District House election be at least 34 percentage points?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 91.8¢ · Ask 99.3¢
- Tlaib, 37+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 12th District House election be at least 37 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 89–99%
Bid 89¢ · Ask 99.2¢
- Tlaib, 40+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 12th District House election be at least 40 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$40 vol
wide spread 81–93%
Bid 81¢ · Ask 92.7¢
- Tlaib, 43+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 12th District House election be at least 43 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$35 vol
wide spread 70–82%
Bid 70¢ · Ask 82¢
- Tlaib, 46+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 12th District House election be at least 46 percentage points?
58%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$145 vol
wide spread 57–69%
Bid 57¢ · Ask 69¢
- Tlaib, 49+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 12th District House election be at least 49 percentage points?
44%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 40¢ · Ask 48¢
- Tlaib, 52+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 12th District House election be at least 52 percentage points?
36%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$424 vol
wide spread 24–36%
Bid 24¢ · Ask 36¢
- Tlaib, 58+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Michigan's 12th District House election be at least 58 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$186 vol
wide spread <1–12%
Bid 0.4¢ · Ask 12¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Michigan's 12th District by 34 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.