Selected outcome
Democrats, 5+ pts
74%
Democrats, 5+ pts · 74%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Michigan Board of State Canvassers (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- Democrats, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Michigan be at least 11 percentage points?
36%
Open · ~$27 24h · ~$1,432 vol
Bid 34¢ · Ask 37¢
- Democrats, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Michigan be at least 14 percentage points?
19%
Open · ~$19 24h · ~$750 vol
Bid 18¢ · Ask 20¢
- Democrats, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Michigan be at least 17 percentage points?
13%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$23 vol
Bid 9.1¢ · Ask 16¢
- Democrats, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Michigan be at least 2 percentage points?
88%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
Bid 86¢ · Ask 89¢
- Democrats, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Michigan be at least 20 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$21 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 9¢
- Democrats, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Michigan be at least 5 percentage points?
74%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 71¢ · Ask 77¢
- Democrats, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Michigan be at least 8 percentage points?
58%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$153 vol
Bid 56¢ · Ask 60¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Michigan by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.