Selected outcome
Sayed, 5+ pts
30%
Sayed, 5+ pts · 30%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Sayed, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Michigan be at least 3 percentage points?
41%
Open · ~$2,541 24h · ~$58k vol
Bid 40¢ · Ask 41¢
- Sayed, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Michigan be at least 5 percentage points?
30%
Open · ~$800 24h · ~$45k vol
Bid 29¢ · Ask 30¢
- Sayed, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Michigan be at least 7 percentage points?
17%
Open · ~$552 24h · ~$13k vol
Bid 16¢ · Ask 17¢
- Sayed, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Michigan be at least 1 percentage points?
68%
Open · ~$414 24h · ~$19k vol
Bid 67¢ · Ask 69¢
- Sayed, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Michigan be at least 9 percentage points?
8%
Open · ~$85 24h · ~$1,581 vol
Bid 6.6¢ · Ask 9.2¢
- Sayed, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Michigan be at least 11 percentage points?
7%
Open · ~$73 24h · ~$694 vol
Bid 6.7¢ · Ask 7.1¢
- Sayed, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Michigan be at least 13 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$2 24h · ~$66 vol
Bid 2.7¢ · Ask 6.1¢
- Sayed, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Michigan be at least 15 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$55 vol
Bid 1.5¢ · Ask 5.9¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.