Selected outcome
Johnson, 5+ pts
wide spread 1–13%
Johnson, 5+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Johnson, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 1st District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
19%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$538 vol
wide spread 12–24%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 24¢
- Johnson, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 1st District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
wide spread 1–13%
Bid 1.4¢ · Ask 13¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Minnesota's 1st District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.