Selected outcome
McCollum, 42+ pts
50%
McCollum, 42+ pts · 50%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- McCollum, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 4th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
85%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$272 vol
wide spread 83–94%
Bid 83¢ · Ask 94.4¢
- McCollum, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 4th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 73–85%
Bid 73¢ · Ask 85¢
- McCollum, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 4th District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 64–75%
Bid 64¢ · Ask 75¢
- McCollum, 39+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 4th District House election be at least 39 percentage points?
62%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$78 vol
Bid 57¢ · Ask 66¢
- McCollum, 42+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 4th District House election be at least 42 percentage points?
50%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$142 vol
Bid 46¢ · Ask 54¢
- McCollum, 45+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 4th District House election be at least 45 percentage points?
39%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$161 vol
Bid 34¢ · Ask 43¢
- McCollum, 48+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 4th District House election be at least 48 percentage points?
28%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 24¢ · Ask 33¢
- McCollum, 51+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 4th District House election be at least 51 percentage points?
19%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 23¢
- McCollum, 54+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Minnesota's 4th District House election be at least 54 percentage points?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 13¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Minnesota's 4th District by 42 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.