Selected outcome
Democrats, 52+ pts
93%
Democrats, 52+ pts · 93%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Democrats, 70+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Missouri's 1st District House election be at least 70 percentage points?
21%
Open · ~$13 24h · ~$116 vol
wide spread 18–30%
Bid 18¢ · Ask 30¢
- Democrats, 49+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Missouri's 1st District House election be at least 49 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90.3¢
- Democrats, 52+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Missouri's 1st District House election be at least 52 percentage points?
93%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$43 vol
Bid 88¢ · Ask 97.8¢
- Democrats, 55+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Missouri's 1st District House election be at least 55 percentage points?
88%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,904 vol
wide spread 79–91%
Bid 79¢ · Ask 90.6¢
- Democrats, 58+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Missouri's 1st District House election be at least 58 percentage points?
80%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$558 vol
Bid 75¢ · Ask 85¢
- Democrats, 61+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Missouri's 1st District House election be at least 61 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$376 vol
wide spread 63–75%
Bid 63¢ · Ask 75¢
- Democrats, 64+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Missouri's 1st District House election be at least 64 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$151 vol
wide spread 51–63%
Bid 51¢ · Ask 63¢
- Democrats, 67+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Missouri's 1st District House election be at least 67 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$145 vol
wide spread 35–47%
Bid 35¢ · Ask 47¢
- Democrats, 73+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Missouri's 1st District House election be at least 73 percentage points?
13%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7 vol
wide spread 7–19%
Bid 7.3¢ · Ask 19¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Missouri's 1st District by 52 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.